<Zoom in on the rise> It is difficult to distinguish between signal and

2024. 7. 17. 21:44US Economic

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<Zoom in on the rise>
It is difficult to distinguish between signal and noise. This is because it varies depending on the market and each trading style. In other words, what was a noise may be a signal, and what was a signal may be a noise.

In the Bitcoin bull market, which began the day before yesterday, scalper is likely not to detect a buying signal due to overselling at the 5th division. If so, even if it is from the 5th division to the 3rd division, you will have to bunt the time frame briefly and make several purchases to produce profits. A buying signal that has not been seen in the 5th division must be expanded to the 3rd division chart to generate a buying signal. This may be forcing a signal. But if my trading style is losing money, something is wrong. You should judge what I regarded as silence or noise in the window as a signal, or make a signal that did not exist. You need to change your mind.

It may not be distinguished whether it is an uptrend or a downtrend. What is an uptrend? There are conditions for this. It means that the selling signal due to overbuying comes out several times and the upward force is strong and the angle is high. This is also an area that must be felt several times empirically.

In such a strong bullish market, it is better to keep holding a position even if you are faced with several times when you have to shake off the volume due to the selling signal that keeps popping up in the oversold section, along with the situation where you can't buy because there is no buying signal due to the over-selling of the five-minute salary. In fact, it is best to buy and hold on an uptrend. While maintaining the long position, you don't short or sell. At this time, the selling style is better than scalping, but the swing is better. Then, the selling signal from the overbought section has to be hit as "noise" and make the opposite decision not to sell, but it is not easy. Changing the fixed buying style is not easy. Even now, it is very difficult to deal with the loss as a loss and determine whether the current market is still at a low point and the buying sentiment is still strong, but if you switch right away like this, you can make a profit.

Whether it's a signal or a noise, it's tempting to have too many notification sounds. This is because there are more worries to distinguish between them. That's why I never recommend looking at a split. No matter how good you are at scalping, it's close to extreme labor to judge at all times below a split.

Depending on the market, I have to quickly decide whether I should sell with confidence, be able to sell without a position, or change my trading style temporarily as above.

Assuming that a downtrend begins, even if there is a slight buying signal due to oversold when high prices are formed, in fact, if it's still a high point, it's better to clear the market first and then vacate the position rather than buy if you judge that the gap is severe. Or do you think the other way around? This also requires a shift in signal to noise, so without tremendous flexibility, you can't grow into a trader.

I'm writing a new book

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