2024. 10. 26. 19:16ㆍUS Economic
Although the market's fear and greed index still remains at 59, which belongs to "greed", it has come down a lot from the previous extreme greed 75. This suggests that adjustments such as April, July, and August are likely to come again, and this adjustment is particularly different in that it started with extreme greed. I expect the market to undergo an adjustment for a while.
This data is just a collection of information I want to store while researching, and all predictions are just predictions. I'm often wrong, too. If all the predictions were correct, I would have been very rich by now. I always try and study more accurate predictions.
I don't take into account the liquidity situation in the Treasury Department and the Fed, where the S&P 500 reached historic highs during the presidential election. I'm just trying to forecast the market through the Fear & Greed Index, and macro or political factors aren't my area of expertise. Currently, the 52-week high, new low, and put-call option ratios are in areas of fear. I'd rather believe in visible charts than news. Market sentiment, which was currently at extreme greed, is close to neutral, and if this continues, it is likely to enter a stage of fear sooner or later. At that point, the media will report on the causes of the market decline, explaining a variety of bad news.
The media finds good news when the market rises, gives reasons, and explains bad news when it falls. "Hindsight is 20/20," or looking back on the past, everyone can see clearly. People who talk with consequentialism may seem smart, but predictions are often wrong. It is not wise to laugh at a prediction for being wrong and show off your superiority with consequentialism. Predictions are easy to be wrong, and anyone can interpret the past, so understand them calmly rather than laughing at them. Knowing this is at least not stupid.
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